You’re the CFO of a medium-sized firm, and you want to provide your firm with the best possible strategy to deal with currency risks. You may have dealt with these risks on a smaller scale before. And it’s likely that you took what you thought was a risk averse stance, and thus paid all overseas invoices at the Spot rate. You traded at Spot because you felt that Forward Exchange Contracts and Options were risky and you had heard of companies that had been burnt using them.
However, by choosing to pay all of your invoices at the Spot rate, a little red flag popped up in the back of your mind warned you that this may not truly be the safest strategy… this is the ‘Paradox of Risk’.
Allow me to explain…
